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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
ST

Wigan
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Humphrys (35'), Lang (66')
Stones (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sraha (15')
Dunkley (5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Wigan would have taken confidence from their last two results, and with Shrewsbury struggling on the road, we think that the Latics will add three more points to their tally on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawShrewsbury Town
51.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 25.15% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 23.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.55% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)52.45% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)74.12% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)52.97% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)37.13% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)73.92% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 51.19%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.65%
    Draw 25.14%
Wigan AthleticDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-3 Fleetwood (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wigan
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Derby
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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