Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
