Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
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