Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0.27) 
0.06) 
