Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Oct 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Emirates Stadium
We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Liverpool Women
Arsenal would have been disappointed to exit the Champions League in the qualifying rounds, but we think that they will use that experience as motivation for their domestic campaign.
Although Liverpool have made a number of additions to their squad, we believe that they will fall short against an Arsenal side stacked with quality.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 74.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 9.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
74.92% ( -0.01) | 15.19% ( 0) | 9.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.03) |
| 66.71% ( 0.02) | 33.29% ( -0.02) |
| 44.95% ( 0.02) | 55.05% ( -0.02) |
| 92.52% ( 0) | 7.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.01) | 26.89% ( -0.01) |
| 56.98% ( 0.03) | 43.02% ( -0.03) |
