Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
We said: Barracas Central 2-1 Argentinos Juniors
The physical demands of the domestic campaign and the Copa Libertadores appear to be taking a toll on Argentinos, who have lacked imagination and quality in recent games.
Meanwhile, Barracas have strung together many positive results against some formidable opponents while showing much more poise along the back end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
20.22% ( -0.26) | 26.76% ( -0.38) | 53.01% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 41.64% ( 0.57) |
| 38.74% ( 0.92) | 61.26% ( -0.93) |
| 18.81% ( 0.68) | 81.19% ( -0.69) |
| 54.34% ( 0.26) | 45.66% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.54% ( 0.2) | 81.45% ( -0.2) |
| 76.63% ( 0.69) | 23.37% ( -0.69) |
