Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Basel had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | Fiorentina |
28.5% ( 0.85) | 24.12% ( -0.07) | 47.38% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 57.66% ( 0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.58% ( 0.86) | 44.42% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( 0.83) | 66.79% ( -0.83) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% ( 1.06) | 28.92% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.2% ( 1.29) | 64.8% ( -1.29) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.12% ( 0.02) | 18.88% ( -0.02) |