Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Basel had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).
0.85) 
-0.07) 
