Motivated by an opening day defeat, Benfica may show no mercy on their newly-promoted visitors here.
Estrela had virtually no threat in their opening day defeat and will almost certainly just look to hold on for as long as possible and keep the scoreline down in this mismatched encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 84.87%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
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