SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Leicester City |
26.68% ( -6.93) | 21.95% ( -1.68) | 51.36% ( 8.61) |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% ( 4.16) | 35.57% ( -4.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.38% ( 4.46) | 57.62% ( -4.47) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -2.23) | 25.62% ( 2.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( -3.14) | 60.5% ( 3.14) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( 4.79) | 14.13% ( -4.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.22% ( 8.64) | 41.78% ( -8.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -1.21) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( -1.5)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -1.31)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.79)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.74)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.68% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -1.05) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.81)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.53) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.8)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 1.21)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 1.12)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.6)1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.95)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.8)2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.56)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.49)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.37% |
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