SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Leicester City |
28.95% ( -1.38) | 23.93% ( -0.32) | 47.12% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 58.65% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( 0.72) | 43.26% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( 0.7) | 65.66% ( -0.7) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.56) | 28.01% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( -0.73) | 63.66% ( 0.72) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( 0.98) | 18.53% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.23% ( 1.64) | 49.76% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.45% Total : 47.12% |
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