SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
48.75% ( 0.02) | 22.73% ( 0.01) | 28.51% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.59% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.07% ( -0.05) | 37.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.81% ( -0.06) | 60.18% ( 0.06) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.01) | 15.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% ( -0.02) | 45.09% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.05) | 25.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( -0.06) | 60.48% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.51% |
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