SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
66.79% ( -0.08) | 19.97% ( 0.02) | 13.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( 0) | 46.69% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0) | 68.96% ( -0) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( -0.02) | 13.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.36% ( -0.04) | 39.64% ( 0.04) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.92% ( 0.09) | 46.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.22% ( 0.07) | 81.78% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 2-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.98% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 13.23% |
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