SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
32.23% ( -0.38) | 30.09% ( -0.09) | 37.69% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 41.66% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.45% ( 0.22) | 65.55% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.72% ( 0.15) | 84.27% ( -0.15) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% ( -0.16) | 37.3% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( -0.15) | 74.09% ( 0.15) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% ( 0.41) | 33.55% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.81% ( 0.45) | 70.19% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.07% | 0-1 @ 13.66% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.68% |
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