SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Arsenal |
32.19% ( -1.22) | 23.25% ( -0.02) | 44.56% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.97% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.62% ( -0.34) | 38.37% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.34% ( -0.36) | 60.66% ( 0.36) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( -0.85) | 23.55% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% ( -1.25) | 57.6% ( 1.25) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% ( 0.37) | 17.63% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.77% ( 0.63) | 48.22% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 6% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.94% Total : 44.56% |
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