Excelsior have seen their matches produce the fourth-highest number of combined goals, and we are anticipating another goal fest this weekend. That said, we can also see Saturday's opponents cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.