SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
55.42% ( 0.65) | 22.18% ( -0.24) | 22.4% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( 0.61) | 41.1% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.51% ( 0.61) | 63.49% ( -0.61) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( 0.42) | 14.74% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.04% ( 0.81) | 42.95% ( -0.8) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( -0.03) | 31.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( -0.03) | 68.43% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.4% |
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