SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
39.55% ( -0.3) | 23.7% ( 0.05) | 36.75% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.57% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( -0.21) | 39.41% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.24% ( -0.23) | 61.75% ( 0.22) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( -0.23) | 20.22% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% ( -0.37) | 52.53% ( 0.37) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.03) | 21.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( 0.05) | 54.65% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.75% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
