SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
63.36% ( -0.76) | 19.45% ( 0.43) | 17.18% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( -1.5) | 36.14% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( -1.66) | 58.25% ( 1.66) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.13% ( -0.62) | 10.87% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.01% ( -1.4) | 34.99% ( 1.4) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( -0.56) | 34.27% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( -0.6) | 70.97% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.79% Total : 63.36% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 17.18% |
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