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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
2 - 2
Toluca

Angulo (45+5'), Gignac (76')
Gignac (48'), Carioca (63'), Angulo (68'), Herrera (90+9'), Flores (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ruiz (44'), Morales (90+4')
Meneses (24'), Isais (59'), Morales (77'), Ruiz (90+2')
Meneses (45+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 2-3 Tigres
Sunday, October 1 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pachuca vs. Tigres
Sunday, October 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Queretaro
Sunday, October 8 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
TigresDrawToluca
54.06% (-0.363 -0.36) 22.56% (0.188 0.19) 23.38% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.422 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3% (-0.66 -0.66)41.71% (0.666 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (-0.67 -0.67)64.11% (0.676 0.68)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.351 -0.35)15.4% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.79% (-0.664 -0.66)44.21% (0.67 0.67)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-0.208 -0.21)31.46% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-0.242 -0.24)67.84% (0.24799999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 54.06%
    Toluca 23.38%
    Draw 22.56%
TigresDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.159 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 54.06%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 23.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-3 Tigres
Sunday, October 1 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 3-0 Monterrey
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-0 Tigres
Monday, September 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 5-0 Queretaro
Sunday, September 3 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 3-2 Santos Laguna
Thursday, August 31 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 Tigres
Monday, August 28 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 America
Sunday, September 24 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 16 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Pachuca
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Monterrey
Thursday, August 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, August 27 at 12am in Liga MX


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