Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Jalisco
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result |
Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
40.64% ( -0.66) | 23.87% ( 0.05) | 35.49% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 61.72% ( -0.09) |
59.54% ( -0.16) | 40.45% ( 0.16) |
37.17% ( -0.17) | 62.83% ( 0.16) |
79.84% ( -0.37) | 20.16% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.55% ( -0.59) | 52.44% ( 0.59) |
77.3% ( 0.24) | 22.7% ( -0.25) |