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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
SL

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Martins (5')
Chakvetadze (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Armstrong (89')
Holgate (4'), Alcaraz (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Watford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-3 Southampton

With both teams expected to make changes, there is more of an unpredictability regarding the final outcome. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Southampton against any of the EFL clubs right now, even though they may have to showcase their superior class in the second half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
39.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 60.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)21.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.48%
    Southampton 36.23%
    Draw 24.29%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.48%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Watford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Watford
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Watford
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Southampton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship


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