With a new head coach at the helm, Swansea will relish the chance to put on a show against the division's form side. However, we feel that Southampton will continue on their merry way, extending their prolonged unbeaten run with a hard-earned victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
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