SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Southampton |
45.6% ( 0.05) | 23.41% ( 0.19) | 30.98% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 61.75% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( -1.05) | 39.72% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.92% ( -1.1) | 62.07% ( 1.09) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( -0.39) | 17.75% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% ( -0.68) | 48.43% ( 0.68) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.66) | 24.92% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( -0.92) | 59.55% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.85% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.98% |
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