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SL
Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
PA

Southampton
2 - 1
Plymouth

Alcaraz (56'), Adams (63')
Smallbone (40'), Manning (44'), Alcaraz (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hardie (90+1')
Mumba (13'), Edwards (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth having collected points in their recent matches, the pressure is off to a certain extent. However, Southampton look unbeatable at present and, while we expect the visitors to be competitive for a time, the home side should eventually cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.28% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 14.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 67.28%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.82%
    Draw 17.91%
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 67.28%
1-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Rotherham
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship


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