Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nevarez (20'),
Medina (35'), Olivera (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
52.32% ( 0.06) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 23.26% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( 0.01) |
| 50.11% ( 0.04) | 49.89% ( -0.04) |
| 28.12% ( 0.04) | 71.88% ( -0.04) |
| 80.96% ( 0.04) | 19.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.07) | 50.61% ( -0.07) |
| 63.93% ( -0.02) | 36.07% ( 0.02) |
