SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Tigres win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
40.97% ( -0.06) | 25.01% ( -0.11) | 34.02% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.93% ( 0.55) | 46.07% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% ( 0.52) | 68.37% ( -0.52) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( 0.21) | 22.41% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.07% ( 0.31) | 55.92% ( -0.32) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.37) | 26.15% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( 0.49) | 61.23% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.02% |
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