Eight of the 15 meetings between these teams this century have ended in a draw, and although momentum is on the side of Reims, Will Still's men are not creating as much on the counter, while Balogun is in a slump, so we project another stalemate in the Principality this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Reims had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.61) 
0.09) 
