It has been over 40 years since Reims defeated Lens in a top-flight contest (2-0 in March 1977), and given the visitors defensive vulnerabilities away from home recently and how sharp Lens have been at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, we expect to see another narrow victory for Les Sang et Or.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
-0.45) 
0.16) 
