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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
M

Lorient
0 - 0
Marseille

 
FT

Malinovskyi (84'), Balerdi (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Marseille

Marseille's superb record on the road cannot be ignored, and they should not lack any inspiration as the Ligue 1 title could still be up for grabs. As Lorient also lack their old attacking verve, OM should out-score their hosts and pick up three valuable points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
18.09% (-0.397 -0.4) 22.66% (-0.273 -0.27) 59.26% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.53% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.534 0.53)48.99% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.482 0.48)71.07% (-0.482 -0.48)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (-0.143 -0.14)40.91% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.131 -0.13)77.48% (0.13 0.13)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.417 0.42)16.18% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (0.754 0.75)45.64% (-0.754 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.09%
    Marseille 59.25%
    Draw 22.65%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 10.98% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 59.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Troyes
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Lorient
Sunday, March 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Auxerre
Sunday, February 26 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Annecy (6-7 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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