Strasbourg may have won their last three competitive head-to-head meetings, but Metz have proven to be a tough team to beat this season, and we think that the hosts will extend their unbeaten run by playing out a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.11) 
