Saturday's showdown looks destined to be a tense and cagey encounter between two underperforming teams, but we expect PSG to flex their muscles and edge out Lens on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
47.15% ( -0.01)	23.54%	29.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72% (

41.28% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.32% (

63.67% (

-0)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

-0)

17.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

-0.01)

48.42% (

0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.01)

26.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

0.01)

62.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 47.15%

Lens 29.3%

Draw 23.54%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.79% Total : 47.15%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.3%