SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
41.56% ( 0.91) | 25.01% ( 0.11) | 33.43% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.74) | 46.23% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -0.71) | 68.52% ( 0.71) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( 0.12) | 22.2% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( 0.18) | 55.61% ( -0.18) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.97) | 26.58% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -1.3) | 61.8% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.43% |
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