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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Roazhon Park
M

Rennes
2 - 1
Montpellier

Terrier (3'), Kalimuendo (48' pen.)
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savanier (73')
Sagnan (12'), Khazri (30'), Mincarelli (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Rennes
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lille
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Rennes seem to have found their scoring touch while Montpellier are still searching for theirs, and we believe the visitors will have difficulty doing much except perhaps fending off Les Rennais for a period of time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.

Result
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
46.9% (0.827 0.83) 24.35% (-0.229 -0.23) 28.74% (-0.597 -0.6)
Both teams to score 57.05% (0.383 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7% (0.678 0.68)45.3% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.647 0.65)67.64% (-0.64399999999999 -0.64)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.621 0.62)19.42% (-0.619 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (1.005 1.01)51.25% (-1.003 -1)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)29.19% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)65.14% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 46.9%
    Montpellier HSC 28.75%
    Draw 24.35%
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.137 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 28.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Rennes
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Guingamp 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Rennes
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lille
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Amiens 1-2 Montpellier
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Marseille
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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