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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
SL

Marseille
1 - 2
Spurs

Mbemba (45+2')
Balerdi (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lenglet (54'), Hojbjerg (90+5', 90+5')
Lenglet (57'), Hojbjerg (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawTottenham Hotspur
27.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 25.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 47.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.47% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.213 0.21)49.57% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4% (0.19 0.19)71.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.136 0.14)32.36% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.156 0.16)68.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (0.093000000000004 0.09)20.94% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (0.148 0.15)53.68% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 27.46%
    Tottenham Hotspur 47.38%
    Draw 25.15%
MarseilleDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 27.46%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 10.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 47.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Marseille
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-3 Spurs
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Spurs
Wednesday, October 19 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League


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