Dallas come into Sunday's opener as favourites due to their excellent 2022 season and Minnesota's dreadful form at the end of last season.
The visitors being without their main attacking threat means that Dallas will be very confident of kicking off their season with three points. Ferreira and Arriola will surely be too much for a Reynoso-less Minnesota to cope with.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
