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Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Exploria Stadium
NY

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Eile (89' og.)
Angulo (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morgan (21' pen.)
Stroud (44'), Reyes (45+5'), Duncan (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-2 New York Red Bulls

Orlando City have made a very slow start to the campaign, and while they did secure their first win last week, they still look some way from the best and are likely to be tested to the limit here by a Red Bulls side that just claimed their biggest win of the early season against Inter Miami. The hosts are the marginal favourites in this contest, but we feel that this one will end level at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
53.77%24.4%21.83%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91%73.08% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04%74.95% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 53.76%
    New York Red Bulls 21.83%
    Draw 24.39%
Orlando CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 21.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Tigres 4-2 Orlando City
Wednesday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Orlando City 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Tigres
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 5-0 Orlando City
Saturday, March 2 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Cincinnati (8-7 pen.)
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Major League Soccer


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