While Messi has been ruled out again for Inter Miami, they showed last week that their squad depth will be a major asset this season, especially if the likes of Suarez and Campana can remain fit and firing. The Red Bulls are certainly no pushover at home but we feel that the Herons will outscore them in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
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