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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
39.86% ( 0.29) | 23.94% ( -0.14) | 36.2% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( 0.68) | 40.66% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.95% ( 0.69) | 63.05% ( -0.69) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.43) | 20.61% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( 0.67) | 53.16% ( -0.67) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0.23) | 22.42% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( 0.35) | 55.94% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.2% |
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