SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Banbury United win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Banbury United |
61.18% ( 2.18) | 21.68% ( -0.65) | 17.14% ( -1.54) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.6% ( 0.34) | 46.4% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( 0.32) | 68.68% ( -0.32) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( 0.82) | 14.67% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.17% ( 1.56) | 42.83% ( -1.56) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% ( -1.59) | 40.51% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.88% ( -1.47) | 77.11% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 7% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.17% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.67% | 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.94% Total : 17.14% |
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