SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Chester FC |
27.17% ( 0.78) | 26.35% ( 0.23) | 46.48% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% ( -0.4) | 54.48% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( -0.34) | 75.84% ( 0.34) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.42) | 35.19% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( 0.44) | 71.95% ( -0.44) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.64) | 23.41% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( -0.94) | 57.4% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.17% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.47% |
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