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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Chorley |
47.65% ( 0.19) | 25.06% ( -0.05) | 27.29% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( 0.14) | 49.26% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( 0.12) | 71.32% ( -0.12) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.14) | 20.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( 0.22) | 53.3% ( -0.21) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( -0.03) | 32.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% ( -0.04) | 68.84% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.29% |
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