SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Chester FC |
63.7% ( -3.53) | 20.41% ( 1.8) | 15.89% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( -4.69) | 43.09% ( 4.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( -4.8) | 65.49% ( 4.8) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.14% ( -2.32) | 12.85% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.77% ( -4.99) | 39.22% ( 4.99) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.92% ( -0.6) | 40.08% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( -0.55) | 76.73% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 1.21)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.57)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.64)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.66)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.33)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.44)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.44)Other @ 3.23% Total : 63.7% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.97) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 1)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.85) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.89% |
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