SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Southport |
47.77% ( 1.58) | 25.84% ( -0.54) | 26.39% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( 1.44) | 53.02% ( -1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( 1.21) | 74.61% ( -1.22) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( 1.34) | 22.2% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( 1.97) | 55.61% ( -1.98) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -0.07) | 35.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( -0.08) | 71.8% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.39% |
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