National League South | Gameweek 3

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Arbour Park

Slough
0 - 2
Chelmsford City

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jackson (11'), Aransibia (79')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Slough Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Slough Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
36.98% ( 0.18)	24.94% ( -0.04)	38.08% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

0.21)

45.37% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

0.2)

67.71% (

-0.2)

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

0.19)

24.15% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.54% (

0.27)

58.46% (

-0.27)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

0.02)

23.56% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.37% (

0.04)

57.62% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Slough Town 36.98%

Chelmsford City 38.08%

Draw 24.93%

Slough Town	Draw	Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.98%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.08%