Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 69.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
-0.92) 
0.45) 
