Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
49.36% ( 5.63)	23.88% ( -1.34)	26.76% ( -4.28)

Both teams to score 57.11% (

1.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.48% (

3.43)

44.52% (

-3.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.11% (

3.24)

66.89% (

-3.24)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

3.78)

18.13% (

-3.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

6.08)

49.09% (

-6.08)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-1.29)

30.24% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-1.58)

66.41% (

1.58)

Score Analysis

York City 49.36%

Aldershot Town 26.76%

Draw 23.87%

York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.85) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.85) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.54) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.86) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.7) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -1.3) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.95) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.45) Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.76%