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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
4 - 0
Carrick

Wilson (6', 42'), Doherty (23' pen.), Hale (64')
Pepper (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Cushley (9'), Crowe (60'), McGuckin (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Coleraine
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
50.91% (-0.113 -0.11) 25.25% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 23.83% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.326 -0.33)52.67% (0.327 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-0.281 -0.28)74.31% (0.283 0.28)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)20.7% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7% (-0.281 -0.28)53.3% (0.284 0.28)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.91% (-0.158 -0.16)37.08% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13% (-0.158 -0.16)73.87% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 50.91%
    Carrick Rangers 23.83%
    Draw 25.25%
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 23.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Glenavon
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 2-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, May 13 at 4.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-1 Coleraine
Wednesday, May 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-3 Crusaders
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Coleraine
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-3 Glenavon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 3-1 Carrick
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Dungannon
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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