SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | KS Cracovia |
56.81% ( 0.58) | 23.12% ( -0.09) | 20.07% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.27) | 48.12% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( -0.25) | 70.28% ( 0.25) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.11) | 16.71% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( 0.19) | 46.61% ( -0.19) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.67) | 38.2% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( -0.65) | 74.96% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | KS Cracovia |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.07% |
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