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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 3
Legia

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Augustyniak (2'), Pankov (4'), Pesqueira (64' pen.)
Elitim (81')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, November 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Legia
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawLegia Warsaw
36.01% (0.908 0.91) 26.3% (0.188 0.19) 37.68% (-1.098 -1.1)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (-0.734 -0.73)51.46% (0.734 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.644 -0.64)73.27% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.19200000000001 0.19)27.53% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (0.247 0.25)63.05% (-0.247 -0.25)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (-0.95 -0.95)26.57% (0.95 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-1.276 -1.28)61.78% (1.277 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 36.01%
    Legia Warsaw 37.68%
    Draw 26.29%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.323 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.24 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.68%

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Form Guide
Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, November 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, November 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 5-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-3 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, October 29 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, October 7 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Legia
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 2-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, November 25 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 0-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 2-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-1 Legia
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-3 Stal Mielec
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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